4.9 Licensee's Consumption Estimates
The licensee’s estimate for the year 2005-06 is based on ALF and further adjusted on higher side. A comparison of the UHBVNL’s actual consumption during the year 2003-04 vis-à-vis the actual consumption during the year FY 2004-05 is shown in the table 4.22:
Table 4.22 - Comparison of the UHBVNL’s actual consumption (MU) during the year 2003-04 vis-à-vis the actual consumption (MU) during the year 2004-05
|
Actual Consumption FY 2003-04 |
Actual Consumption FY 2004-05 |
% Growth |
|
|
Domestic |
1406.497 |
1503.156 |
6.87 |
|
Non Domestic |
352.275 |
376.834 |
6.97 |
|
HT Industry |
862.393 |
932.614 |
8.14 |
|
LT Industry |
474.204 |
492.798 |
3.92 |
|
Agriculture metered |
449.905 |
558.446 |
24.13 |
|
Agriculture unmetered |
2791.296 |
2757.858 |
-1.2 |
|
MITC |
1.714 |
1.791 |
4.49 |
|
Lift Irrigation |
41.488 |
36.743 |
-11.44 |
|
Railway Traction |
100.747 |
102.364 |
1.61 |
|
Bulk Supply |
137.019 |
138.257 |
0.90 |
|
Street lighting |
15.453 |
16.679 |
7.93 |
|
PWW |
125.723 |
136.64 |
8.68 |
|
Total |
6758.714 |
7054.18 |
4.37 |
A comparison of the UHBVNL’s actual consumption during the year 2004-05 vis-à-vis the estimate for FY 2005-06 is shown in the table 4.23:
Table 4.23 - Comparison of the UHBVNL’s actual consumption (MU) during the year 2004-05 vis-à-vis the estimate for FY 2005-06
|
Actual Consumption FY 2004-05 |
UHBVNL Estimate FY 2005-06 |
% Difference |
|
|
Domestic |
1503.156 |
1958.1 |
30.3 |
|
Non Domestic |
376.834 |
459.1 |
21.8 |
|
HT Industry |
932.614 |
1024.6 |
9.9 |
|
LT Industry |
492.798 |
565.1 |
14.7 |
|
Agriculture metered |
558.446 |
715.5 |
28.1 |
|
Agriculture unmetered |
2757.858 |
2764.1 |
0.2 |
|
MITC |
1.791 |
2.5 |
39.6 |
|
Lift Irrigation |
36.743 |
37.5 |
2.0 |
|
Railway Traction |
102.364 |
94.3 |
-7.9 |
|
Bulk Supply |
138.257 |
159.0 |
15.0 |
|
Street lighting |
16.679 |
20.5 |
22.8 |
|
PWW |
136.64 |
184.7 |
35.1 |
|
Total |
7054.18 |
7984.9 |
13.2 |
From the above table, it is noticed that the forecast in most of the consumer categories is on much higher side and does not conform to past trend. Hence, the same may not be achieved in the power availability-driven-scenario prevailing during 2005-06
